The Ontario provincial election will be held on June 7, 2018. Below is my current projection.
It can be seen that the Ontario PC Party is set on winning the election and forming a majority government. The NDP would form the Official Opposition, though they have a small chance of coming up on top. The incumbent Liberals would most likely be displaced to the third place party spot, with the Greens, other parties, and independents not set on winning any seats.
Here is a graph of all polls taken from after the 2015 election up to now. Over this four year period, we can clearly see some trends, including the fall of the Liberals and the rise of the PCs and NDP.
Although Doug Ford`s Progressive Conservatives are currently on the path to easily winning the election, we must remember that even a week in politics is a long time, so changes can still happen. Stay tuned for the end of the month update and projection!
