Presidential Primaries: August Polling Averages

Trump Continues to Dominate GOP Field; Carson and Sanders Make Gains

Republican Nomination

1. Trump: 30.5%
2. Carson: 10.8%
3. Bush: 8.8%
4. Rubio: 6.1%
5. Huckabee: 5.7%
6. Cruz: 5.6%
7. Walker: 5.5%
8. Fiorina: 5%
9. Kasich: 3.5%
10. Christie: 2.7%
11. Paul: 2.4%
12. Perry: 2.4%
13. Santorum: 1.3%
14. Jindal: 0.7%
15. Gilmore: 0.6%
16. Graham: 0.3%
17. Pataki: 0.1%
Others/Undecided/None of the above/Wouldn't vote: 8%

Spread: Trump +19.7

Addition: Jim Gilmore (former governor, VA)

RNC:

Trump: 88%; Carson: 11%; Bush: 1%

Democratic Nomination

1. Clinton: 48.7%
2. Sanders: 23.2%
3. Biden: 14%
4. Webb: 1.3%
5. O'Malley: 1.3%
6. Chafee: 0.4%

Others/Undecided/None of the above/Wouldn't vote: 11.1%

Spread: Clinton +25.5

DNC: 

Sanders: 51%; Clinton: 38%; Biden: 11%

Canada Federal Election: August Polling Averages

Conservatives Slip to Third Place in Close Three-Way Race

1. NDP: 34%
2. LPC: 28.7%
3. CPC: 27.8%
4. GPC: 4.8%
5. BQ: 3.7%
6. Others: 1.7%

Regional Model

Atlantic

1. LPC: 37.3%, 17 seats
2. NDP: 30.5%, 9 seats
3. CPC: 26.9%, 6 seats
4. GPC: 4.3%, 0 seats
5. Others:  0.9%, 0 seats


Quebec

1. NDP: 43.7%, 65 seats
2. LPC: 20.8%, 7 seats
3. BQ: 16.2%, 3 seats
4. CPC: 15.1%, 3 seats
5. GPC: 3.1%, 0 seats
6. Others:  1%, 0 seats


Ontario

1. CPC: 32.2%, 44 seats
2. LPC: 32.1%, 33 seats
3. NDP: 29.4%, 33 seats
4. GPC: 5.2%, 0 seats
5. Others:  1.1%, 0 seats

 Manitoba and Saskatchewan

1. CPC: 42.2%, 19 seats
2. NDP: 27.2%, 5 seats
3. LPC: 24.7%, 4 seats
4. GPC: 4.1%, 0 seats
5. Others:  1.8%, 0 seats

 
Alberta

1. CPC: 49.3%, 29 seats
2. NDP: 26.1%, 4 seats
3. LPC: 17.6%, 1 seats
4. GPC: 4.7%, 0 seats
5. Others:  2.3%, 0 seats

 
British Columbia

1. NDP: 34.5%, 21 seats
2. CPC: 29.3%, 13 seats
3. LPC: 24.8%, 8 seats
4. GPC: 10.4%, 0 seats
5. Others:  0.9%, 0 seats

 
The Territories

CPC:  2 seats
LPC:  0 seats
NDP:  1 seats
GPC:  0 seats
Others: 0 seats

Canada

1. NDP: 138 seats
2. CPC: 116 seats
3. LPC: 81 seats
4. BQ: 3 seats
5. GPC: 0 seats
6. Others: 0 seats