Monday, February 29, 2016

The Republican and Democratic Races Could End Tomorrow

Tuesday, March 1, 2016 is Super Tuesday. One fifth of the American states will vote and when finished, 25% of delegates will be allocated. 

Among Republicans, Donald Trump is in a strong position to win most, if not all of the states. Ted Cruz may win his home state of Texas and a few southern states, and Marco Rubio is in second or third place in several states, but leading in none. John Kasich and Ben Carson have no chance of winning any of the Super Tuesday states. 

Hillary Clinton will likely dominate the Democratic primaries and caucuses, while Bernie Sanders may pick up a couple of states and will easily dominate his home state, Vermont. But once Super Tuesday is over, the gap between Clinton and Sanders will be huge, making Clinton the presumptive nominee. Let's not mention the 10 to 1 difference in super-delegates between Clinton and Sanders. 

Unless Cruz does well in the South, he is a goner. And even if Rubio comes as the runner-up in several states, he will still not have carried a single state and will remain as a distant challenger to Trump. The Donald is polling between 35-45%, but once more candidates drop out, such as Ben Carson, and undecideds make up their mind, a large amount of Republicans will jump the bandwagon and support him giving him a support level of over 50%. Already some of the establishment are showing signs of supporting Trump. Chris Christie recently endorsed Trump and may be Trump's running mate. Others will do the same. 

So unless Cruz or Rubio pull some upset victories and surprise everyone, it's going to be Trump, Trump, Trump!


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