Presidential Primaries Polling Averages Update

 Republican Nomination

The GOP presidential primaries polling averages have been updated with the addition of a poll by Monmouth University that shows Jeb Bush leading with 13% and Scott Walker and Ted Cruz close behind both at 11%. Below is the current list. Changes in position (rank) are indicated by green for an increase, red for a decrease, and nothing if the candidate's position remains unchanged.

1. Jeb Bush: 15.7%
2. Scott Walker: 15%
3. Ted Cruz: 9.3% (+3)
4. Ben Carson: 8.9% (-1)
5. Mike Huckabee: 8.8% (-1)
6. Rand Paul: 8.3% (-1)
7. Marco Rubio: 6.2%
8. Chris Christie: 5.7%
9. Rick Perry: 3.1%
10. Rick Santorum: 1.6%
11. Bobby Jindal: 1.5%
12. John Kasich: 1.3%

The biggest mover right now is Ted Cruz who has jumped up to third place after declaring candidacy. Also noteworthy is that Rick Perry's numbers have increased by 0.5 percentage points since the last update. The Monmouth poll gave him 5%, a number he has not achieved since January. Perry may not be spiraling downwards after all. 

Democratic Nomination

  Fox News released an opinion poll for the Democratic primary. Hillary Clinton is still in the lead with 61%. Below is the current list. Changes in position (rank) are indicated by green for an increase, red for a decrease, and nothing if the candidate's position remains unchanged.

1. Hillary Clinton: 59.3%
2. Joe Biden: 12.2%
3. Elizabeth Warren: 12%
4. Bernie Sanders: 4.2%
5. Martin O'Malley: 1.3% (+1)
6. Jim Webb: 1.3% (-1)

Warren is now only 0.2pp behind the vice-president, so they are statistically tied in second place. Martin O'Malley has entered into a virtual tie with Jim Webb (though he leads by 0.02pp).
This means a small increase for O'Malley who was polling at 1% at the end of March.